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1.2·5 min read

When Comps Shine (and Fail)

Comps are quick and grounded in real prices, but they inherit the market's mood and need a clean peer set.

By the end you can
  • List the strengths and limits of comps
  • Know when to lean on them vs a DCF
  • Strength: grounded in real, current market prices - hard to argue with the tape.
  • Strength: fast and intuitive; great for a sanity check on a DCF.
  • Limit: needs a genuinely comparable peer set, which thin or unique industries lack.
  • Limit: inherits the market's mood - if the whole sector is overpriced, comps say your company is too.
Use both

The pro move is to run comps and a DCF and triangulate. When they disagree sharply, that gap is the most interesting thing in the analysis - and worth understanding before you trust either number.

Check yourself

A key limitation of comparable company analysis is that it: